Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 16.654023 18.862993 21.202038 23.857783 26.783759 29.903363 33.475156
2025-01-05 13.313512 16.319957 19.708375 23.788737 28.546391 33.895363 40.339712
2025-01-12 10.390243 13.734262 17.730983 22.811296 29.044208 36.386519 45.629578
2025-01-19 8.174942 11.623380 15.982254 21.809700 29.299712 38.499811 50.538681
2025-01-26 7.214140 10.931734 15.863300 22.743830 31.935586 43.618259 59.389360
2025-02-02 6.793338 10.882782 16.538633 24.720909 36.010440 50.769366 71.205552
2025-02-09 6.166753 10.440307 16.598213 25.825032 38.954581 56.581413 81.574273
2025-02-16 5.382503 9.644045 16.045609 25.980039 40.553159 60.631676 89.759761
2025-02-23 4.579834 8.697127 15.148746 25.518086 41.192307 63.340322 96.188390
2025-03-02 3.946312 7.928302 14.425501 25.219478 41.998024 66.264959 102.989366
2025-03-09 3.488552 7.388913 13.996410 25.311241 43.349697 69.988538 111.031682
2025-03-16 3.048054 6.812917 13.436897 25.126967 44.232842 73.027200 118.167279
2025-03-23 2.862060 6.700221 13.674320 26.298213 47.361797 79.643556 130.975252
2025-03-30 2.557870 6.311816 13.385047 26.554744 49.036133 84.128565 140.798072
2025-04-06 2.145555 5.634234 12.492371 25.683602 48.794971 85.626027 146.142519
2025-04-13 1.782357 4.993871 11.588574 24.698118 48.272441 86.621588 150.716685
2025-04-20 1.689132 4.944612 11.827363 25.810567 51.387871 93.554037 164.808418
2025-04-27 1.712781 5.173722 12.644131 28.055972 56.584785 104.055945 184.889862
2025-05-04 1.637386 5.150120 12.936051 29.314748 60.092919 111.907925 200.985035
2025-05-11 1.476539 4.884667 12.690511 29.507435 61.692187 116.644137 212.204948
2025-05-18 1.280917 4.490616 12.121039 29.006467 61.986928 119.181886 219.907390
2025-05-25 1.122418 4.164568 11.661700 28.682021 62.572310 122.211771 228.488966
2025-06-01 1.010508 3.947766 11.424451 28.788888 63.956488 126.642647 239.504362